The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) predicts that Russia’s casualties in the ongoing war against Ukraine will exceed 1 million by this summer. This figure includes about 250,000 Russian soldiers killed, marking a significant human toll from President Vladimir Putin’s military actions. Ukraine has also faced severe losses, with approximately 400,000 casualties, including between 60,000 and 100,000 confirmed deaths. The anticipated milestone of over 1 million casualties for Russia represents a stark indicator of Putin’s blatant disregard for his troops, exceeding the total casualties from all Russian and Soviet conflicts since World War II.
This assessment is consistent with Western intelligence estimates, which suggest that around 1,000 Russian soldiers are being killed or injured daily. The statistics primarily pertain to the full-scale invasion initiated by Russia in February 2022, following Putin’s earlier annexation of Crimea in 2014 and support for separatist forces in Eastern Ukraine.
Putin’s rationale for invading Ukraine has involved historical misrepresentations, claiming Ukraine has never been a true independent nation and expressing grievances about NATO’s expansion as a threat to Russian security. Initially, Russian forces aimed for a quick conquest of Kyiv but experienced unexpected resistance, leading to a shift in military strategy towards attritional trench warfare. This approach, characterized by sending waves of soldiers into battle, has been described as “meat grinder” tactics and highlights the war’s brutal nature and significant human cost.
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