Former President Donald Trump’s campaign is gaining ground in Minnesota, a state that has not voted Republican in a presidential election since 1972. Recent polls show a narrowing gap between Trump and President Joe Biden, who won the state by 7 points in 2020 but only by two points in 2016.
Chris LaCivita, a senior adviser for Trump’s 2024 campaign, believes they have a real opportunity to expand the battleground map in Minnesota. Polls conducted by various organizations show differing results, with some indicating a close race between Biden and Trump when including third-party candidates.
Larry Jacobs, a political expert at the University of Minnesota, acknowledges that the state is competitive and notes challenges Biden faces, such as dissatisfied voters who protested his stance on the Israel-Hamas war during the primary. A Survey USA poll found Biden leading by six points, while a Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy survey shows a four-point lead for Biden. However, a McLaughlin & Associates poll commissioned by the Trump campaign has Trump leading by two points.
Minnesota holds significance for both campaigns as Trump seeks to break the state’s long streak of voting Democratic and Biden aims to retain the state for the party. With differing poll results and a history of close races, both candidates will likely focus on winning over Minnesota voters as part of their strategy for the upcoming presidential election.
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